I know this is nitpicking, but you can’t raise up a distribution as shown in your plot. Probability distributions need to integrate to 1, by raising the density at every point it will now integrate to more than 1. What you are describing is that the distribution stays the same, but the proliferation of the indie game industry means that more games are being drawn from this distribution per unit of time.
It's not meant to be a probability distribution! The graph is "(absolute) number of games" vs "quality". But I agree that using the term "distribution" is a bit confusing
Fair enough! I shouldn’t have pointed out the plot, it was the wording in the paragraph above that was weird to me.
Overall, excellent article! I’m in the middle of a PhD which is the definition of learning arcane shit, so trying to figure out how to reposition for the coming AI wave is very important to me.
in case it matters, i personally feel like ive seen:
- more startups that are going lean, hiring fewer engineers to do more with them
- more tech companies that are drastically reducing headcount, both with rolling layoffs (cf meta, google) and with fewer offers at junior positions
Neither of these are proof positive, but I mention this just bc the example with programmers was not meant to be contrived. It's based on real conversations I've heard or been part of
Thank you for the article! Useful examples from history.
I know this is nitpicking, but you can’t raise up a distribution as shown in your plot. Probability distributions need to integrate to 1, by raising the density at every point it will now integrate to more than 1. What you are describing is that the distribution stays the same, but the proliferation of the indie game industry means that more games are being drawn from this distribution per unit of time.
It's not meant to be a probability distribution! The graph is "(absolute) number of games" vs "quality". But I agree that using the term "distribution" is a bit confusing
Fair enough! I shouldn’t have pointed out the plot, it was the wording in the paragraph above that was weird to me.
Overall, excellent article! I’m in the middle of a PhD which is the definition of learning arcane shit, so trying to figure out how to reposition for the coming AI wave is very important to me.
in case it matters, i personally feel like ive seen:
- more startups that are going lean, hiring fewer engineers to do more with them
- more tech companies that are drastically reducing headcount, both with rolling layoffs (cf meta, google) and with fewer offers at junior positions
Neither of these are proof positive, but I mention this just bc the example with programmers was not meant to be contrived. It's based on real conversations I've heard or been part of
> but there could also be new jobs and new companies which could increase labor demand
high agency high talent people will definitely benefit! So if that's you, great, and if not, try and become one of those people!
Appreciate the follow :)